JUSTIN WASTNAGE / BERLIN

Germany's ILA wants to shrug off its regional air show tag and take its place alongside the trade fair giants

German aerospace has lofty ambitions for the International Aerospace Exhibition (ILA) 2002, the Berlin air show. BDLI, the German aerospace industries association, predicts this year's event, to be held at Berlin Schönefeld Airport on 6-12 May, it will shed its regional air show label, and move into the mainstream of international trade fairs, alongside Paris, Farnborough, Singapore and Dubai.

Since returning to Berlin from Hanover in 1998, the show has doubled in exhibitor and attendance numbers, and organisers are confident of attracting more than 1,000 exhibitors this year. European aerospace giant EADS is promoting Berlin behind the scenes as it considers ILA to be one of its two "home shows". It will dominate the exhibition from a pavilion of equal size to the one it had at Paris last year.

Rainer Hertlich, BDLI president and co-chief executive of EADS, says ILA is one of Europe's "big three" air shows. "After Paris," he says, "Farnborough and Berlin are fighting for number two slot." In 2000, ILA attracted 941 exhibitors, up from 825 in 1998. Farnborough had 1,287 exhibitors in the same year - but last year's Paris show beat them both, with 1,895, despite being down on previous years due to a slowing US economy. The number of pavilions at Berlin has been increased from five to six, and there is evidence that the air show is starting to be taken more seriously than in previous years.

Competition between the three shows is fierce, and Farnborough was accused of spoiling tactics when in 2000 the UK show organiser rescheduled its event from September to July, forcing ILA to move to May. In fact, the decision was taken to bring the UK show into a better cycle with Paris, says the organiser, the Society of British Aerospace Companies (SBAC). June was impossible, due to concerns from local school authorities, but July is also far from perfect, as many continental European companies are winding down ahead of month-long manufacturing breaks in August. In 2000-01, all three European air shows took place virtually within a year, with fewer and fewer major announcements being spread around the shows. Many industry commentators have argued that the show calendar needs restructuring.

Hertlich says: "The USA needs to have one big air show every two years, and the European shows should rotate on alternate years". Despite hinting a change may come as early as 2006, he says the SBAC is less "open minded" towards the idea. GIFAS, BDLI's French counterpart, says it is unaware of any such change, and polls by the USA's Aerospace Industries Association show that US aerospace companies prefer smaller, more "direct" feel of several specialised shows.

As European industry restructures, it cannot be long before the feasibility of two large shows in one year is questioned. There has also been talk of the European shows alternating on a three-year basis. Both these plans rely on Berlin being seen as an equal to Farnborough and Paris, so the BDLI is aiming to improve the show's image and exploiting sectors it believes are "neglected" by "defence-heavy" Farnborough.

ILA organisers have also been working to address logistical problems encountered by delegates in 2000. Improved transport links to Schönefeld should ensure no visitors are stuck at the railway station, and the introduction of a separate air corridor for helicopters is designed to avoid the situation at ILA 2000, when Eurocopter complained that its VIP flights were being held in the same air traffic pattern as the display flights.

Expansion plans

The development of Schönefeld is central to ILA's expansion plans, says Hans Eberhard Birke, BDLI director general. Following the collapse of communism, the former East Berlin airport, which plans to rename itself Berlin Brandenburg International Airport in 2007, has become home to charter operators and low-cost carriers. Airport authorities have attracted the air show to the location with preferential rates, and, in return, hope to showcase their new facilities, including a new terminal and a 4,000m (13,100ft) runway.

Many view orders announced to be the test of an air show's success. ILA 2000 saw companies revealing orders worth over $25 billion. General Electric Capital Aviation Services, for instance, announced over $11 billion worth of orders and options for 450 Bombardier, Embraer and Fairchild Dornier regional jets. This eclipsed Paris's poor year in 2001, with only 309 aircraft orders worth $17.3 billion, of which International Lease Finance's deal with Airbus accounted for $8.7 billion. Farnborough 2000, however, saw a record year, with orders worth $42 billion. In the current climate, estimates for ILA remain muted, with Fairchild Dornier most likely to announce new customers for its 728 regional jet. The manufacturer may be in more of a hurry to conclude any deal with possible suitors before the show, however.

The show will not see the debut of the Fairchild Dornier aircraft; the main première will now be the Airbus A318. But there is unlikely to be any significant Airbus commercial aircraft announcement, possibly reflecting the political pressures behind the EADS-BAE Systems joint venture. Although Airbus's supervisory board met at ILA 2000, it was another few days until the final points of the Airbus A380 programme were resolved and the project launched.

Similarly, ILA 2002 will be trying to avoid a repeat of the disappointment it faced when a planned deal between French, Dutch, German and Italian governments with NH Industries for the NH90 helicopter was delayed by several weeks. A European Union defence ministers' council is planned for the show and, given that the German parliament recently gave authorisation for initial Airbus Military Company (AMC) A400M funding, the military transport aircraft is likely to feature prominently. A planned A400M signing ceremony was absent from the last show and organisers may try to recover lost ground. Political realities mean that many defence ministries feel the need to announce deals at "home" air shows, so Germany's insistence that it is leading the programme makes a Berlin announcement a possibility.

The list of confirmed participants looks impressive, but with Airbus, AMC, Arianespace, Astrium, Eurocopter, Eurofighter, MBDA and NH Industries all EADS ventures, the European company's importance to Berlin is obvious.

US exhibitors

US exhibition space is up by 30%, but there are still few large companies. The biggest gap in the US contingent is Boeing, which, as Flight International went to press, had yet to decide whether to attend. Two years ago, it chose to concentrate its expenditure on Farnborough, and, in 1998, it required personal intervention from Berlin's mayor to hurry together a presence from the company. Any mock-up of the much-vaunted Sonic Cruiser will have to wait until July.

The effects of the US terror attacks on 11 September have certainly hit air show attendance and marketing budgets, but a push from the US Department of Commerce for US companies to attend trade fairs will help organisers in their attempt to secure more North American exhibitors. The BDLI has also established a liaison office in Alexandria, Virginia, to meet US manufacturers. US companies signed so far include Bell Helicopter, Goodrich, Lockheed Martin, MD Helicopters, Northrop Grumman, Pratt & Whitney, Raytheon, Sikorsky and UTC.

If the US contingent is smaller than at other European air shows, ILA can claim to be the major showcase for Russian aerospace outside the Moscow show. Every major Russian company is represented, and Russian companies have booked 60% more exhibition space than two years ago. Attendees will include Aviaexport, AVPK Sukhoi, Beriev, Ilyushin, Irkutsk aircraft production organisation, Kazan, NPO Saturn, Rosoboronexport, RSK MiG, Tupolev and Yakovlev.

ILA certainly has clout as a regional air show, and it is possible that there will be military announcements from central European states. New NATO members and applicants seem more at ease in releasing details in Berlin than they do in the UK, says Hertlich. Following the Czech and Hungarian decision to go with the Saab/BAE Systems Gripen, further movement on Austria's and Poland's fighter contracts is likely to take place in Berlin.

BDLI points to space as another selling point. Spaceflight will have a separate hall, and the European Space Agency, France's ONERA, German research laboratory DLR and International Space Station all have press events or seminars planned. Unmanned air vehicles have a history at ILA. In 1998, Berlin was the first show to feature a flying experimental aircraft. Following the deployment of Northrop Grumman's Global Hawk in Afghanistan, organisers are hinting at a significant announcement, possibly including a joint venture with EADS, the Eurohawk.

Mainstream

Lighter-than-air vehicles will also be well represented, with a seminar taking pride of place in the BDLI's conference schedule. Cargolifter and Zeppelin manufacturer ZF will participate in technical briefings around the show. "It is a case of lighter-than-air joining the aerospace mainstream," says Cargolifter chief executive Carl von Grablenz.

ILA 2002's organisers have taken on board comments from previous years, but it remains to be seen whether they are closer to the goal of international credibility they crave. If Berlin starts to be taken more seriously on the world stage, the kind of re-organisation seen in the European aerospace market will have to be repeated on the air show circuit

Source: Flight International