Boeing is expecting global demand for 29,400 new aircraft over the next 20 years, with emphasis on a shift to larger types and replacement of less-efficient models.
The airframer released the figure in its latest global market forecast, presented at a briefing in
Some 12,500 of these new aircraft will be used for replacement of the current global fleet - up 20% from last year's outlook - while the growth figure of 16,900 airframes is down by 7%.
Regional aircraft demand has been cut by one-third to 2,510 while single-aisle aircraft demand is up by 8.5% to 19,160.
Boeing's twin-aisle forecast is also up, by 7.3% to 6,750, while demand in the large aircraft category - comprising jets the size of the 747 and above - is up by 20 airframes to 980.
The total value of these new aircraft is put at $3.2 trillion.
About 6,400 of the current fleet will be retained, giving an overall world fleet of 35,800 in 2027 - a slight reduction from last year's outlook.
Boeing Commercial Airplanes marketing vice-president Randy Tinseth, speaking during the briefing, said the replacement of less-efficient types means 82% of the 2027 fleet will comprise new aircraft.
The forecast assumes passenger traffic will rise at 5% and cargo traffic will increase by 5.8% per year.
Asia-Pacific carriers will account for 31% of deliveries over 2008-2027, overtaking
"We expect a portfolio of deliveries that's better-balanced than before," says Tinseth, adding that the market will be less vulnerable to regional variations.
In terms of delivery value,
Source: Air Transport Intelligence news
