Boeing is expecting global demand for new aircraft to reach 28,600 over the next two decades, although the 5% increase on last year’s figure is largely due to its inclusion, for the first time, of the former Soviet Union in its assessment.
Boeing released its latest 20-year market outlook in the week before the Paris show, which shows that 18,200 aircraft will be required to meet growth. Another 10,400 will be required as replacements for the current fleet. The total value of these aircraft is put at $2.8 trillion. Around 1,000 of the aircraft featured in the projection will be taken up by the states of the former Soviet Union.
Higher-capacity
Boeing Commercial Airplanes marketing vice-president Randy Tinseth, speaking at a briefing in London, said this meant there was little increase in the overall demand since Boeing’s 2006 outlook. This is the result of airlines substituting aircraft in their present fleets for higher-capacity types – moving from 50-seat to 70-seat aircraft, for example, or from regional types to single-aisle jets – as well as carriers’ ability to extract higher utilisation and achieve greater load factors.
“Aircraft will be more productive,” he says. The current global fleet will double from 18,200 to 36,400 aircraft but nearly 80% of the fleet in 2026 will comprise new-build models.
Demand for single-aisle types will remain strong, with some 17,650 deliveries, accounting for 62% of the total.
Source: Flight Daily News
